2019—2023年大气污染物对儿童哮喘的影响——基于南京市儿童医院哮喘门诊量的分析

Impacts of ambient air pollutants on childhood asthma from 2019 to 2023: An analysis based on asthma outpatient visits of Nanjing Children's Hospital

  • 摘要:
    背景 哮喘严重影响着儿童的生长发育和心理健康,对儿童哮喘水平的控制和风险因素的评估逐渐为人们所重视。越来越多的研究发现大气污染物暴露能够明显增加儿童哮喘的发病风险。
    目的 了解南京市大气污染物浓度变化及南京市儿童医院哮喘门诊就诊情况,定量分析不同大气污染物暴露对儿童哮喘门诊就诊量的影响。
    方法 收集南京市2019年1月1日—2023年12月31日的逐日细颗粒物(PM2.5)、可吸入颗粒物(PM10)、二氧化硫(SO2)、二氧化氮(NO2)、一氧化碳(CO)、臭氧(O3)浓度数据,气象数据(气温、气压和相对湿度)以及哮喘儿童门诊就诊资料,采用基于类泊松分布的广义相加模型定量分析大气污染物短期暴露对儿童哮喘门诊就诊量的影响。
    结果 2019—2023年南京市大气污染物PM2.5、PM10、SO2、NO2年平均浓度均未超过国家限值。单污染物模型分析显示PM2.5、PM10、NO2、CO均对儿童哮喘就诊量的单日滞后效应均在污染当天时最大,污染物浓度每升高10个单位,超额风险(ER)值分别为1.39%(95%CI:0.65%~2.14%)、1.46%(95%CI:0.97%~1.95%)、5.46%(95%CI:4.36%~6.57%)、0.18%(95%CI:0.11%~0.26%),SO2在lag1时达到最大效应,浓度每升高10个单位,ER值为23.15%(95%CI:13.57%~33.53%)。不同污染物最大累积滞后效应的时间不同,PM10、PM2.5、SO2、NO2、CO分别在lag01、lag01、lag02、lag02和lag03时的累积滞后效应最大,ER值分别为1.35%(95%CI:0.77%~1.92%)、0.96%(95%CI:0.10%~1.83%)、28.50%(95%CI:15.49%~42.98%)、6.92%(95%CI:5.53%~8.33%)和0.31%(95%CI:0.20%~0.42%)。PM2.5、PM10对儿童哮喘门诊量的影响随年龄的增大而增加,NO2、SO2和CO则呈现随年龄的增大而减小的现象。
    结论 大气污染物(PM2.5、PM10、SO2、NO2、CO)会增加儿童哮喘就诊量,且不同污染物对不同年龄段儿童哮喘就诊量的影响不同。

     

    Abstract:
    Background Asthma poses a serious threat to children's growth, development, and mental health, thus there has been an increasing focus on the control of asthma morbidity in children and the assessment of its risk factors. A growing body of research has found that exposure to ambient air pollutants an significatly increase the risk of childhood asthma.
    Objective To understand the changes of ambient air pollutant concentrations in Nanjing and asthma outpatient visits to Nanjing Children's Hospital, and to quantitatively analyze the effects of exposure to different ambient air pollutants on children's asthma outpatient visits.
    Methods Daily data of ambient air pollutants fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particle (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), carbon monoxide (CO), ozone (O3), meteorological factors (air temperature & relative humidity), and outpatient visits due to asthma in the hospital from January 1, 2019 to December 31, 2023 were collected, and a generalized additive model based on quasi poisson distributions was used to quantitatively analyze the short-term effects of ambient air pollutant exposure on outpatient visits due to asthma in the hospital.
    Results The annual average concentrations of PM2.5, PM10, SO2, and NO2 in Nanjing from 2019 to 2023 did not exceed the national limits. For single-day lagged effects, the single-pollutant model showed that the effects of PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and CO on children's asthma outpatient visits were greatest for every 10 units increase at lag0, with excess risk (ER) of 1.39% (95%CI: 0.65%, 2.14%), 1.46% (95%CI: 0.97%, 1.95%), 5.46% (95%CI: 4.36%, 6.57%), and 0.18% (95%CI: 0.11%, 0.26%), respectively, and SO2 reached the maximum effect at lag1, with an ER of 23.15% (95%CI: 13.57%, 33.53%) for each 10 units increase in concentration. Different pollutants reached their maximum cumulative lag effects at different time. The PM10, PM2.5, SO2, NO2, and CO showed the largest cumulative lag effects at lag01, lag01, lag02, lag02, and lag03, respectively, with ERs of 1.35% (95%CI: 0.77%, 1.92%), 0.96% (95%CI: 0.10%, 1.83%), 28.50% (95%CI: 15.49%, 42.98%), 6.92% (95%CI: 5.53%, 8.33%), and 0.31% (95%CI: 0.20%, 0.42%), respectively. The influences of PM2.5 and PM10 on outpatient visits due to asthma in the hospital became more pronounced with advancing age, while the associations with NO₂, SO₂, and CO were weakened as children grew older.
    Conclusion Ambient air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO) can increase childhood asthma visits, and different pollutants have varied effects on the number of asthmatic children's visits at different ages.

     

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